Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.045457 0.052975 0.061338 0.071330 0.082947 0.096028 0.111882
2025-11-02 0.034640 0.044714 0.057095 0.073431 0.094429 0.120530 0.155476
2025-11-09 0.026592 0.037131 0.051113 0.071021 0.098661 0.135723 0.189288
2025-11-16 0.021917 0.032643 0.047798 0.070769 0.104747 0.153230 0.227842
2025-11-23 0.018426 0.029017 0.044813 0.070088 0.109571 0.169014 0.265585
2025-11-30 0.016235 0.026866 0.043508 0.071448 0.117268 0.189621 0.312972
2025-12-07 0.014065 0.024353 0.041181 0.070698 0.121296 0.204742 0.353386
2025-12-14 0.012095 0.021836 0.038431 0.068743 0.122876 0.215807 0.388201
2025-12-21 0.010465 0.019647 0.035893 0.066717 0.123907 0.225835 0.422227
2025-12-28 0.009582 0.018663 0.035314 0.068051 0.131016 0.247258 0.479352
2026-01-04 0.008690 0.017525 0.034286 0.068369 0.136195 0.265665 0.533052
2026-01-11 0.007902 0.016474 0.033268 0.068539 0.141046 0.283921 0.588646
2026-01-18 0.007281 0.015691 0.032704 0.069600 0.147940 0.307273 0.658164
2026-01-25 0.006826 0.015190 0.032648 0.071704 0.157276 0.336748 0.744473
2026-02-01 0.006027 0.013836 0.030633 0.069361 0.156831 0.345812 0.788255
2026-02-08 0.005500 0.013011 0.029642 0.069118 0.160920 0.365018 0.856896
2026-02-15 0.005003 0.012183 0.028535 0.068453 0.163943 0.382190 0.923103
2026-02-22 0.004698 0.011766 0.028303 0.069781 0.171748 0.411095 1.020553
2026-03-01 0.004292 0.011045 0.027269 0.069048 0.174516 0.428581 1.092742
2026-03-08 0.003861 0.010204 0.025836 0.067139 0.174133 0.438460 1.147352
2026-03-15 0.003474 0.009421 0.024449 0.065160 0.173305 0.447125 1.200000
2026-03-22 0.003293 0.009155 0.024334 0.066463 0.181144 0.478519 1.316177
2026-03-29 0.003079 0.008772 0.023868 0.066774 0.186387 0.503867 1.419546